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CIRANO is pleased to host an upcoming flagship event: a public speech by the Bank of Canada, which will take place at its premises on May 26.
Nicolas Vincent, External Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak about labour market trends and the structural changes shaping the Canadian economy. Nathalie de Marcellis-Warin, CEO of CIRANO, will deliver the opening remarks and moderate the Q&A session. The speech will be delivered in both official languages, primarily in French. Seating is limited for in-person attendance. |
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CIRANO held the second annual conference of the Canadian Labour Economics Forum in Montreal on April 17 and 18, 2026, bringing together researchers and experts to discuss major transformations in the labor market. Discussions focused on key issues such as educational pathways, working conditions, and institutional dynamics, in line with the thematic year “Education and Workforce : for a more productive and equitable society” |
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CIRANO held the second edition of its “Québec of Builders” initiative conference, bringing together researchers, experts, and decision-makers to discuss the dynamics of entrepreneurship in Québec. Discussions highlighted the legacy of major entrepreneurs, the role of education in skills development, and the place of Francophones in the economy. |
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Francis Vailles in La Presse highlighted the findings of a CIRANO study by Maude Laberge (Université Laval) and co-authors. The study analyzes the trajectories of high users of healthcare services using the TorSaDe cohort, a rich database that makes it possible to track the care trajectories of 100,000 Quebecers over a ten-year period. The main finding is that a very small proportion of the population accounts for nearly half of total healthcare spending. |
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This one-day event is aimed at researchers, practitioners, analysts, program managers, provincial and federal public servants, as well as graduate students interested in the quantitative evaluation of public policies. Organized by the Maison des affaires publiques et internationales, in collaboration with CIREQ and CIRANO, it will bring together various stakeholders to discuss the challenges of measuring the impact of public interventions. |
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This workshop is intended for researchers and students interested in the analysis of markets with frictions. As part of the thematic year, it aims to highlight ongoing work and provide a space for discussion around recent research. It is organized by Fabian Lange (McGill University), Markus Poschke (McGill University), and Fernando Saltiel (McGill University). Please note that the event will be held in English. |
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This conference offers Ph.D. students from Quebec and elsewhere the opportunity to share their research. Organized over two days, it covers a wide range of topics in macroeconomics, microeconomics, and econometrics, both from theoretical and empirical perspectives. |
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This conference is intended for researchers, students, professionals, and decision-makers interested in economic issues and labor market transformations. Organized by CIRANO, it will feature Nicolas Vincent, External Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, who will present labor market trends and structural changes in the Canadian economy. The speech will be delivered in both French and English, with a majority in French. |
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Under the honorary presidency of Ms. Julie-Andrée Côté (CFA Montréal), this event will highlight the participants who took part in the simulation, during which they managed a virtual portfolio of $200,000 and invested in real publicly traded securities between February 9 and April 10, 2026. Chaired by Mr. Michel Gariépy, analyst at the Financial Education Department of the Autorité des marchés financiers, the jury will award over $30,000 in prizes across several categories, including financial performance, portfolio management, and responsible investing. |
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Urban Green infrastructure will be at the heart of a CIRANO webinar dedicated to their role in addressing environmental, health, and social challenges in urban settings. The speakers (add names and affiliations), along with the panelists, will present the methods and tools they use as part of a CIRANO project focused on a cost–benefit analysis of green infrastructure in Quebec in the context of climate change. Some preliminary results will also be presented. The webinar will be moderated by Thomas G. Poder, CIRANO researcher. |
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The 29th “Theories and Methods in Macroeconomics” (T2M) conference will take place on June 2 and 3, 2026, at HEC Montréal. The program will include several parallel sessions, two plenary lectures, and multiple thematic sessions organized by leading economists.
The conference is organized by Giacomo Candian (HEC Montréal), Sophie Osotimehin (UQAM), Nora Traum (HEC Montréal) et Pablo Winant (ESCP Business School). |
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The synthesis symposium of the second phase of En avant math! will bring together researchers, mathematicians, educators, teachers, and stakeholders to present the main findings of the initiative and the actions implemented in the field. The day will also provide a platform for discussion to formulate recommendations for public decision-makers.
Launched in 2019 by the Centre de recherches mathématiques (CRM) and CIRANO, with the support of Québec’s Ministry of Finance, En avant math! initiative aims to strengthen numeracy and better equip the workforce of tomorrow. |
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The June 6 conference will pay tribute to Damba Lkhagvasuren, a member of the Department of Economics at Concordia University, and will highlight his contributions to the field, particularly in labor macroeconomics. The conference is organized by Paul Gomme (Concordia), Jorgen Hansen (Concordia), Tatyana Koreshkova (Concordia) et Christian Siguoin (Concordia). |
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On June 11, the Research Chair on Intergenerational Economic Issues (CREEI), the Human Capital Research Group (GRCH), and ECOSVieQ will organize a symposium at CIRANO to provide students with an opportunity to present and discuss their research. |
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Maude Laberge, Bile Yacouba Djedou, Anaïs Lacasse, Catherine Hudon and Thomas G. Poder |
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Using longitudinal medico-administrative data from the TorSaDE cohort, the authors analyze the utilization profiles of high users of healthcare services in Quebec. Their findings call for a rethinking of current strategies and for prioritizing personalized approaches that make it possible to anticipate needs, better support individuals, and improve the efficiency of the healthcare system. This study represents a highly strategic tool for healthcare planning in Quebec. The early identification of at-risk trajectory profiles makes it possible to intervene upstream by proposing targeted measures before overuse becomes established. |
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Fabian Lange, Brennan McLachlan et Markus Poschke |
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In this study, the authors analyze the mismatch between job seekers and vacant positions in Quebec from 2016 to 2024 using survey data from Statistics Canada. Their findings suggest that mismatch in Quebec increased over this period. However, this increase is small compared to the overall unemployment rate. A significant share of the rise in mismatch is driven by the growing proportion of vacancies in the healthcare sector, while the number of job seekers has not kept pace. |
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Nong Zhu and Jianwei Zhong |
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Depopulation in Canada’s rural regions represents a major challenge for their economic and social development, weakening the labor force, public services, and the viability of communities. In this context, immigration can contribute to demographic renewal and the revitalization of rural areas and small towns.
Based on Canadian census data, this study analyzes the factors influencing immigrants’ settlement in non-metropolitan regions and highlights their effects on income inequality and poverty. |
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Eric Latimer, Karine Perreault, Caleb Foster, Alex Schurr, Dimitra Panagiotoglou and Erin C. Strumpf |
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Quebec has experienced a sharp rise in visible homelessness in recent years, reaching over 12,000 people in 2025; an increase of 20% compared to 2022. Beyond the human suffering involved, homelessness is associated with significantly higher mortality, notably linked to substance use and limited access to healthcare. This report adopts two complementary approaches: (1) literature reviews, and (2) an estimation of the costs associated with homelessness in Quebec in 2022–2023. It highlights the decisive role of housing costs and the effectiveness of “Housing First” approaches, which reduce the use of public services. Annual economic costs are estimated at nearly $800 million, more than half of which stem from spending by community organizations serving people experiencing homelessness. |
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Nicolas Charette and Geneviève Dufour |
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This discussion paper follows the December 4, 2025, CIRANO event, where four studies explored links between education, career choices, and the labor market in Quebec. Bringing together researchers, policymakers, and institutional actors, the event highlighted Quebec’s potential in educational data and scientific expertise. The paper synthesizes these findings around one conclusion: investing in education remains profitable, but individuals make choices in a context of fragmented information, complex pathways, and uncertainty about career outcomes. |
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This publication provides an updated analysis of public data interoperability in Canada, in light of recent federal and provincial policy developments and the accelerating transformations driven by artificial intelligence. It builds on prior work on digital sovereignty and emphasizes the central role of data as a strategic infrastructure in a context of geopolitical fragmentation and concentration of technological capabilities.
The study highlights three major dynamics : supply chain fragmentation, the industrialization of AI, and the redefinition of digital sovereignty; and proposes a roadmap to strengthen FPT+ interoperability as a lever for domestic market performance, institutional coordination, and Canada’s strategic capacity. |
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Renée Morissette and Ali Béjaoui |
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Measuring the impact of telework on labor productivity remains a significant methodological challenge, particularly because productivity indicators are often difficult to observe. While matched employer-employee panel survey data and exogenous variations in telework help control for certain biases, they do not necessarily ensure reliable causal identification.
This paper shows that even within such empirical frameworks, the effect of telework on productivity may remain unidentifiable when self-reported productivity is influenced by intermediate factors such as job satisfaction. Controlling for these variables can introduce a “collider” bias, generating an artificial correlation between telework and productivity. |
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This paper analyzes the failure of inflation forecasts in the United States in 2021, showing that it is primarily explained by the composition of estimation data rather than model misspecification. Samples dominated by the Great Moderation period underestimated regimes characterized by supply shocks, delaying the adjustment of expectations to a changing macroeconomic context. The study finds that corrections based on historical experience significantly reduce forecasting errors and highlights the role of learning biases shaped by age cohorts and lived experience of past inflationary periods. It underscores that expectation formation depends more on historical references than on model sophistication. |
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Vincent Geloso and Patrick Crawford |
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This article examines the role of media competition in political mobilization during the 1837–38 Rebellions in Québec. It argues that the press played a central role in coordinating political action, influencing the intensity of rebel mobilization independently of partisan divides. Using spatial data on newspaper agents, the study shows that local media competitiveness is associated with higher participation in the uprisings, with particularly strong effects in areas where seigneurial structures persisted. These findings suggest that competition among newspapers helped transform diffuse discontent into active mobilization. |
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| | | CIRANO news on our social networks |
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Corporate Partners
Autorité des marchés financiers Banque de développement du Canada Banque du Canada Banque Nationale du Canada Bell Canada BMO Groupe financier Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec La Caisse Énergir Hydro-Québec Intact Corporation Financière Mouvement Desjardins Power Corporation du Canada Pratt & Whitney Canada VIA Rail Canada |
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Governmental partners
Ministère des Finances du Québec Ministère de l'Économie, de l'Innovation et de l’Énergie Innovation, Sciences et Développement Économique Canada Ville de Montréal |
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University Partners
École de technologie supérieure École nationale d’administration publique de Montréal HEC Montréal Institut national de la recherche scientifique Polytechnique Montréal Université Concordia Université de Montréal Université de Sherbrooke Université du Québec Université du Québec à Montréal Université Laval Université McGill |
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