Compliance, Informality and Contributive Pensions
We
consider a political economy model in which agents have the possibility to hide
part of their earnings in order to avoid taxation. Taxation is exclusively used
to finance a pension system. If the pension system is implemented, agents in
their old age receive a benefit which includes both a Bismarkian and a
Beveridgian component. We show that in the absence of compliance costs, agents
are indifferent to the tax rate level as in response, they can perfectly adapt
their level of compliance. The public pension system is found to be at least
partially contributory in order to increase compliance and thus to increase the
tax base. When compliance costs are introduced, perfect substitutability
between compliance and taxation breaks down. Depending on the relative returns
from public pensions and private savings as well as on the elasticity of compliance
to income, we obtain that the preferred tax rate should be increasing or
decreasing in income. The majority voting tax rate is more likely to be
positive when the median income is low and when the return from public pensions
dominates that of private savings. The level of the Bismarkian pillar will now
be chosen so as to account for increased political support, for increased
direct redistribution toward the worst-off agent, and increased tax base.
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